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US intel chief warns of Afghanistan political breakdown

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Last Updated on: October 25, 2022

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The United States Director of National Intelligence James Clapper says that Afghanistan is at serious risk of a political breakdown this year.

Clapper told the Senate Armed Services and intelligence committees Afghanistan is at serious risk of a political breakdown during 2016, occasioned by mounting political economic and security challenges.

“Waning political cohesion, increasingly assertive local power brokers, financial shortfalls and sustained countrywide Taliban attacks are eroding stability,” he said as several top American senators expressed their concern over the current situation in Afghanistan.

In the meantime, US intelligence chief described the Islamic State as the ‘pre-eminent terrorist threat.’

The militant group can ‘direct and inspire attacks against a wide range of targets around the world’, Clapper said.

Marine Lt. Gen. Vincent Stewart, director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, said the Islamic State will probably conduct additional attacks in Europe and then attempt the same in the U.S.

He said U.S. intelligence agencies believe IS leaders will be ‘increasingly involved in directing attacks rather than just encouraging lone attackers.’

Clapper also said al-Qaida, from which the Islamic State spun off, remains an enemy and the U.S. will continue to see cyber threats from China, Russia and North Korea, which is also ramping up its nuclear program.

But the Afghan government rejects US officials’ statements regarding Afghanistan’s political breakdown.

This comes as analysts are said to consider that US officials with declaring such statements are trying to
attract the attentions of Afghanistan donor countries for further assistances.

 

 

 

 

 

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Russia claims Asia-based drug network expanding toward Russia and the West

Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan have said that they have reduced the cultivation, production, and trafficking of narcotics in Afghanistan to close to zero.

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Russia’s security chief has warned that a growing synthetic drug production network is emerging across parts of Asia, with potential trafficking routes extending toward Russia and Western countries.

Alexander Bortnikov, Director of the Federal Security Service, said a “drug production belt” is taking shape across Southeast Asia, Afghanistan, and Iran, as criminal groups increasingly shift toward synthetic narcotics manufacturing.

Speaking at a meeting of the Council of Heads of Security Agencies of the Commonwealth of Independent States, Bortnikov argued that cooperation with the Islamic Emirate on counter-narcotics efforts could be “reasonable,” citing changes in the regional drug trade.

He said Afghan traffickers are moving away from traditional narcotics toward synthetic drug production, contributing to what he described as an expanding transnational supply chain linking Southeast Asia, Afghanistan, and Iran.

According to him, this network is increasingly extending into Central Asian states, where more illicit laboratories are reportedly being established to produce new synthetic substances.

Bortnikov also claimed that organized crime groups linked to Ukraine have recently become involved in both production and transit operations, allegedly remotely managing drug laboratories in CIS countries. He added that proceeds from these activities are being used, in part, to fund recruitment for attacks in Russia and to acquire weapons.

The FSB chief said Russian security services, working with partner agencies, had dismantled nearly 170 drug laboratories across the CIS in 2025 and seized around nine tons of synthetic drugs.

This is while officials of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan have said that they have reduced the cultivation, production, and trafficking of narcotics in Afghanistan to close to zero.
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China and Pakistan deepen Afghanistan cooperation after Beijing talks

In the joint declaration, China and Pakistan stressed that Afghan territory should not be used by militant organisations to threaten neighbouring countries or regional interests.

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Following high-level talks in Beijing between China and Pakistan, the two allies have pledged closer coordination on Afghanistan and warned against militant groups using Afghan territory to threaten regional security.

The commitment came in a joint statement issued after Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif concluded a four-day official visit to China, where he met Chinese President Xi Jinping and Premier Li Qiang.

A significant section of the statement focused on Afghanistan and regional security, underlining growing concern from both Beijing and Islamabad about instability spilling across borders.

The two countries welcomed recent trilateral discussions involving Afghanistan, Pakistan and China held in Urumqi, Xinjiang, in April 2026. Pakistan praised China for facilitating dialogue between Islamabad and Kabul, while both sides agreed to maintain close coordination on Afghan-related issues.

In the joint declaration, China and Pakistan stressed that Afghan territory should not be used by militant organisations to threaten neighbouring countries or regional interests.

The statement specifically named the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and the Eastern Turkistan Islamic Movement (ETIM), saying no individual or group should be allowed to carry out attacks or destabilising activities from within the region.

Security concerns linked to Afghanistan have become increasingly important for both countries. Pakistan has repeatedly accused militants of launching cross-frontier attacks from Afghan territory, while China has voiced concern about extremist networks operating near its western Xinjiang region.

Beyond Afghanistan, the joint statement reaffirmed the deepening strategic partnership between China and Pakistan, including cooperation on infrastructure, counter-terrorism, trade, artificial intelligence and regional connectivity under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC).

The two sides also agreed to strengthen military and counter-terrorism cooperation through what they described as a new China-Pakistan Security Partnership.

The visit coincided with celebrations marking 75 years of diplomatic relations between China and Pakistan.

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IEA defense minister arrives in Moscow for international security conference

The ministry added that participants are expected to exchange views on key international and regional security issues during the gathering.

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Afghanistan’s Ministry of Defense says Mawlawi Mohammad Yaqoob Mujahid, Defense Minister of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan, has arrived in Moscow to participate in the International Security Conference hosted by the Russian Federation.

According to the ministry, the conference will bring together defense and security officials from various countries to discuss regional security, shared challenges, and ways to strengthen cooperation.

The ministry added that participants are expected to exchange views on key international and regional security issues during the gathering.

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